Cloudbet crypto bettors back “Bara Bada Bastu” to steam ahead, while Israel remains a top contender despite controversy
With Eurovision 2025 semi-finals set for May 13 and 15 in Switzerland, leading crypto sportsbook Cloudbet reports Sweden's KAJ has emerged as the market leader. Backed by viral buzz and sauna-soaked memes, “Bara Bada Bastu” is trading at 2.12 odds in Cloudbet’s outright winner market.
Austria's JJ with “Wasted Love” and France's Louane with “Maman” follow closely, while Israel's Yuval Raphael with “New Day Will Rise” remains a strong contender, trading at 13.7 odds.
Despite political controversies surrounding Israel's participation due to the ongoing conflict in Gaza, the country's entry has garnered significant support. Yuval Raphael, a survivor of the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack, brings a poignant narrative to the contest. Calls for Israel's exclusion have been made by various artists and broadcasters, but the European Broadcasting Union has maintained its stance on inclusivity.
“Last year, Eurovision market volume on Cloudbet eclipsed the Oscars by over 4x—and all signs point to an even bigger year,” said a Cloudbet trading analyst. “With odds shifting over rehearsals, political dynamics, and format changes, informed bettors are capitalizing on volatility before it gets priced in.”
Cloudbet’s top 5 Eurovision 2025 outright odds
| Country | Artist / Song | Odds |
| Sweden | KAJ – “Bara Bada Bastu” | 2.12 |
| Austria | JJ – “Wasted Love” | 3.39 |
| France | Louane – “Maman” | 11.0 |
| Israel | Yuval Raphael – “New Day Will Rise” | 13.7 |
| Netherlands | Claude – “C’est la vie” | 22.9 |
Note: As of May 8, 2025. Odds are subject to change and reflect current market trends.
Semi-Final Betting and Format Changes
The semi-finals, scheduled for May 13 and 15, will determine the final lineup for the Grand Final on May 17. Sweden is favored to win Semi-Final 1, while Israel leads the odds for Semi-Final 2.
In an effort to enhance viewer engagement, the European Broadcasting Union is considering changes to the semi-final results announcement format. The executive producers have indicated plans to make the semi-final voting results more exciting, possibly by altering the way qualifiers are revealed.
Cloudbet’s Eurovision 2025 Semi-Final Winner Odds (as of May 8):
Semi-Final 1 (May 13)
| Country | Artist / Song | Odds |
| Sweden | KAJ – “Bara Bada Bastu” | 1.20 |
| Estonia | Tommy Cash - “Espresso Macchiato” | 6.98 |
| Netherlands | Claude – “C’est la vie” | 10.9 |
Semi-Final 2 (May 15)
| Country | Artist / Song | Odds |
| Israel | Yuval Raphael – “New Day Will Rise” | 1.78 |
| Finland | Erika Vikman - ICH KOMME | 3.37 |
| Austria | JJ – “Wasted Love” | 4.25 |
Note: Odds are subject to change and reflect current market trends.
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